Municipal La Paz vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.7%
Win probability
0.24
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
0.6%
3-2
<0%
+1
3.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
17.1%
79.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
21.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
27.4%
0-2
21.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.2%
-2
24.8%
0-3
13.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.2%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal La Paz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
MUN
0 - 1
PAL
4%
19%
77%
|
27 | 87 | 60 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1966 |
JWI
3 - 0
MUN
90%
7%
3%
|
28 | 70 | 42 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1966 |
MUN
5 - 1
OCT
19%
22%
59%
|
25 | 65 | 40 | +3 |
| 17 Mar. 1966 |
MUN
4 - 1
EME
30%
21%
48%
|
23 | 73 | 50 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 1966 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
MUN
79%
12%
9%
|
23 | 80 | 57 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1974 |
JWI
0 - 1
SAO
23%
28%
49%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1974 |
SAO
2 - 1
SPO
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
OPE
0 - 2
SAO
16%
23%
60%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1974 |
SAO
2 - 0
CEA
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
SAO
2 - 0
PAL
52%
27%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |