Mtibwa Sugar vs Young Africans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
+2
5.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
45.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+128%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
NAM
3 - 1
MTI
47%
30%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
MTI
0 - 0
SIM
24%
29%
47%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
RUV
1 - 1
MTI
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
COA
0 - 1
MTI
47%
30%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
MTI
1 - 1
POL
26%
30%
44%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Young Africans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
YOU
0 - 0
MBE
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
POL
0 - 1
YOU
34%
31%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
COA
0 - 2
YOU
31%
30%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2022 |
YOU
2 - 1
KMK
89%
8%
3%
|
61 | 15 | 46 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2021 |
YOU
4 - 0
DJF
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |