Mt Albert Ponsonby vs Eastern Suburbs AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
78.4%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
11.3%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mt Albert Ponsonby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
MAP
11 - 1
OFC
71%
17%
13%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 0
MAP
77%
13%
9%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
ONE
3 - 4
MAP
80%
12%
8%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
WAI
5 - 2
MAP
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 56 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
MAP
5 - 1
PAP
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
EAS
4 - 0
TAK
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
EAS
4 - 2
NSH
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
EAS
1 - 4
AUC
17%
22%
61%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 0
EAS
15%
19%
66%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
WES
2 - 1
EAS
13%
18%
69%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -2 |