Bundesliga Round 32

MSV Duisburg vs Kaiserslautern analysis

MSV Duisburg Kaiserslautern
81 ELO 78
-10.4% Tilt -4.5%
1186º General ELO ranking 297º
58º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
54.2%
MSV Duisburg
23.3%
Draw
22.6%
Kaiserslautern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
MSV Duisburg
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.6%
Win probability
Kaiserslautern
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
MSV Duisburg
+31%
-3%
Kaiserslautern

ELO progression

MSV Duisburg
Kaiserslautern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 1969
HAN
Hannover 96
1 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
48%
24%
27%
81 78 3 0
26 Apr. 1969
MSV
MSV Duisburg
1 - 1
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
48%
25%
27%
81 82 1 0
19 Apr. 1969
OFC
Kickers Offenbach
0 - 0
MSV Duisburg
MSV
44%
25%
32%
81 75 6 0
29 Mar. 1969
MSV
MSV Duisburg
1 - 0
Nürnberg
FCN
49%
25%
26%
81 83 2 0
22 Mar. 1969
KOL
Köln
1 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
61%
21%
17%
81 84 3 0

Matches

Kaiserslautern
Kaiserslautern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 1969
KAI
Kaiserslautern
2 - 2
Eintracht Frankfurt
EIN
40%
27%
32%
78 82 4 0
13 May. 1969
S04
Schalke 04
3 - 1
Kaiserslautern
KAI
54%
22%
23%
78 80 2 0
03 May. 1969
KAI
Kaiserslautern
1 - 1
Schalke 04
S04
49%
24%
27%
78 80 2 0
26 Apr. 1969
HER
Hertha BSC
1 - 0
Kaiserslautern
KAI
55%
22%
23%
79 78 1 -1
19 Apr. 1969
KAI
Kaiserslautern
1 - 1
Schalke 04
S04
46%
26%
28%
79 80 1 0