MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
KFC
1 - 3
MSV
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
MSV
3 - 0
BVL
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
AUG
2 - 1
MSV
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1983 |
MSV
4 - 1
FSV
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1982 |
MSV
0 - 1
OFC
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1983 |
KÖL
2 - 2
ROT
67%
19%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1983 |
MON
2 - 2
KÖL
70%
16%
14%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
SGF
2 - 0
KÖL
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
KÖL
1 - 2
WAT
79%
14%
8%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
DAR
1 - 1
KÖL
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |