MSV Duisburg vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
KSC
0 - 1
MSV
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
PAD
1 - 3
MSV
33%
27%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
MSV
2 - 2
AUG
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SGF
0 - 1
MSV
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
MSV
2 - 2
RWA
76%
16%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
AAA
1 - 1
PAD
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2009 |
SGF
0 - 2
AAA
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
AAA
0 - 2
RWA
76%
16%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
TUS
1 - 0
AAA
30%
27%
44%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2009 |
AAA
1 - 0
ROS
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |