MSC vs SWZ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MSC
1 - 0
HOO
70%
17%
13%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ALV
0 - 1
MSC
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MSC
2 - 1
ROH
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
DEB
3 - 5
MSC
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
USV
5 - 2
MSC
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SWZ
1 - 2
QUI
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
JOU
2 - 1
SWZ
11%
18%
72%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SWZ
3 - 1
SCN
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LON
2 - 3
SWZ
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SWZ
0 - 3
RKH
58%
20%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |