MSC vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
GER
0 - 2
MSC
19%
22%
59%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MSC
3 - 2
FVC
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MSC
3 - 1
ARH
75%
15%
11%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BEQ
0 - 1
MSC
44%
24%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MSC
0 - 1
SWZ
44%
23%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 2
JUL
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 2
ALC
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FVC
0 - 2
ALC
22%
22%
55%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 0
ACH
63%
21%
17%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
RKH
1 - 1
ALC
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |