Moyola Park vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
37.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moyola Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
MOY
5 - 2
LIS
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
MOY
1 - 4
DOL
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
POR
3 - 1
MOY
60%
21%
18%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MOY
1 - 2
AUN
24%
22%
54%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
DOL
3 - 2
MOY
51%
22%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
BAN
1 - 1
ARC
79%
13%
8%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
POR
1 - 0
BAN
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
BAN
3 - 2
DOL
53%
22%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BAN
5 - 5
NEY
66%
19%
16%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
DOL
1 - 0
BAN
44%
23%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |