Moura vs Quarteirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
COV
1 - 3
MOU
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
PIN
1 - 1
MOU
62%
22%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
MOU
1 - 1
FER
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LOU
3 - 1
MOU
38%
25%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
MOU
0 - 3
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Quarteirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
QUA
1 - 1
FER
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
LOU
1 - 1
QUA
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
QUA
1 - 1
UNI
38%
25%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ALM
3 - 1
QUA
19%
23%
59%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
QUA
0 - 1
FCB
17%
23%
60%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |