Mount Rich vs Camerhogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
51.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mount Rich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
10 - 0
MRI
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MRI
1 - 2
HAR
21%
19%
60%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
QPR
0 - 1
MRI
72%
15%
13%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
MRI
1 - 1
GRE
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
JOH
3 - 0
MRI
51%
21%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Camerhogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FCC
1 - 0
HAR
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GRE
4 - 1
FCC
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -3 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
FCC
3 - 1
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +3 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
HAP
0 - 2
FCC
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +5 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FCC
1 - 2
PAR
49%
21%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |