Moulins vs Thonon Évian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
46.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
THO
0 - 0
MOU
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
MOU
0 - 2
LIM
30%
25%
46%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BOU
3 - 1
MOU
57%
22%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MOU
4 - 1
VEL
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
LDU
3 - 0
MOU
48%
23%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
THO
2 - 3
VEN
44%
22%
35%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
THO
0 - 0
MOU
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
THO
3 - 2
AUR
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
HAL
3 - 2
THO
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
THO
1 - 1
AIN
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |