Motril CF vs UD Carboneras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
RON
1 - 0
MOT
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MOT
0 - 0
MAN
50%
25%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 1
MOT
53%
24%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MOT
0 - 4
UDS
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MOT
0 - 1
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UD Carboneras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
ALH
20%
23%
57%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LOJ
3 - 0
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
RON
4 - 1
CAR
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
MAN
35%
25%
40%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 0
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |