Motherwell vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
GLA
6 - 1
MHE
69%
19%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
MHE
2 - 3
CEL
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
HIB
2 - 0
MHE
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
MHE
2 - 2
DUN
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
MHE
1 - 1
ABE
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
STJ
1 - 0
STM
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
GLA
3 - 0
STJ
65%
20%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
STJ
0 - 1
KIL
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
STJ
1 - 1
HAM
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
HOM
1 - 2
STJ
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |