Motherwell vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1924 |
HIB
1 - 0
MHE
57%
22%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1924 |
MHE
3 - 0
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1924 |
QUE
2 - 1
MHE
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1924 |
KIL
1 - 0
MHE
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1924 |
MHE
2 - 2
TLA
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1924 |
AYR
3 - 3
ABE
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1924 |
HOM
2 - 3
AYR
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1924 |
AYR
0 - 1
AIR
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1924 |
AYR
0 - 0
TLA
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1924 |
QUE
0 - 0
AYR
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |