Mossley vs Newcastle Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
KID
4 - 0
MOS
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MOS
0 - 0
COL
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MOS
2 - 1
PRE
26%
21%
52%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
RUN
2 - 2
MOS
66%
18%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
MOS
1 - 0
SKE
81%
13%
7%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
RAM
1 - 2
NEW
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 1
WID
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NEW
3 - 4
COL
34%
24%
42%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CHA
5 - 0
NEW
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 6
RAM
19%
21%
59%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -2 |