Mossley vs Hemsworth MW analysis


28	ELO	14
8%	Tilt	22.1%
7931º	General ELO ranking	20608º
409º	Country ELO ranking	904º
ELO win probability

75.2%

Mossley

14.3%

Draw

10.5%

Hemsworth MW

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

75.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%

14.3%

Draw

0-0

2.2%

1-1

6.2%

2-2

4.3%

3-3

1.4%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

14.3%

10.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mossley

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
16 Aug. 2016	RAD 3 - 4 MOS 30% 22% 48%	27	22	5	0
13 Aug. 2016	MOS 2 - 2 KEN 62% 20% 19%	27	22	5	0
02 Aug. 2016	MOS 1 - 1 WAR 13% 20% 67%	27	47	20	0
19 Jul. 2016	MOS 2 - 2 STA 29% 24% 47%	27	39	12	0
23 Apr. 2016	BRI 3 - 1 MOS 28% 20% 52%	29	23	6	-2