Non League Div One Northern North Round 8

Mossley vs Garforth Town analysis

Mossley Garforth Town
36 ELO 24
19.4% Tilt 10.2%
9377º General ELO ranking 8754º
448º Country ELO ranking 374º
ELO win probability
79%
Mossley
13.5%
Draw
7.4%
Garforth Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
Mossley
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.5%
Win probability
Garforth Town
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mossley
-6%
-1%
Garforth Town

ELO progression

Mossley
Garforth Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mossley
Mossley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2010
MOS
Mossley
1 - 4
Skelmersdale United
SKE
35%
24%
41%
38 45 7 0
14 Sep. 2010
FYL
Fylde
0 - 2
Mossley
MOS
52%
23%
26%
36 38 2 +2
07 Sep. 2010
MOS
Mossley
1 - 1
Radcliffe Borough
RAD
68%
18%
14%
36 29 7 0
04 Sep. 2010
WAR
Warrington Town
1 - 1
Mossley
MOS
39%
25%
36%
36 34 2 0
24 Aug. 2010
CLI
Clitheroe
5 - 0
Mossley
MOS
43%
23%
34%
38 35 3 -2

Matches

Garforth Town
Garforth Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2010
GAR
Garforth Town
1 - 1
Fylde
FYL
28%
22%
51%
24 38 14 0
18 Sep. 2010
TRA
Trafford
2 - 2
Garforth Town
GAR
78%
14%
8%
23 37 14 +1
14 Sep. 2010
GAR
Garforth Town
2 - 1
Salford City
SAL
21%
20%
59%
20 39 19 +3
11 Sep. 2010
CHE
Chester
2 - 0
Garforth Town
GAR
84%
12%
4%
21 48 27 -1
07 Sep. 2010
LEG
Leigh Genesis
1 - 0
Garforth Town
GAR
73%
17%
10%
21 37 16 0