U.D. Mos vs Erizana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U.D. Mos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
LGU
3 - 0
MOS
73%
15%
12%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
MOS
1 - 0
MAR
49%
24%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ARC
3 - 0
MOS
74%
16%
10%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MOS
1 - 3
UMI
23%
24%
53%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
MOS
76%
14%
10%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Erizana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ERI
0 - 1
POR
11%
17%
72%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ERI
0 - 1
LGU
26%
21%
53%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 2
ERI
85%
11%
5%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ERI
2 - 3
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
UDE
3 - 0
ERI
68%
18%
14%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |