Mortágua vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
ALC
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
OLE
2 - 2
MOR
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
BEN
23%
25%
52%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
MOR
41%
25%
35%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 1
MOR
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SER
0 - 3
UDL
15%
24%
61%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 2
SER
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
OLE
35%
27%
38%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
OLI
40%
27%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
BEN
4 - 3
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |