Morella vs Calig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 1
VIL
59%
22%
19%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CDB
0 - 1
MOR
78%
14%
8%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
TRA
1 - 1
MOR
68%
18%
14%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 2
VIN
17%
20%
63%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
MOR
2 - 4
ORP
20%
22%
59%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 1
PEN
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
VIL
79%
14%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CAL
3 - 0
ALC
27%
23%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 1
ORP
38%
23%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
TRR
1 - 1
CAL
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |