CA Morelia vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PUM
1 - 2
MOR
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 0
TIJ
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 1
TIJ
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
TIJ
3 - 1
MOR
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
ATS
1 - 3
MOR
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
CAZ
4 - 0
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CAZ
2 - 1
TIG
44%
26%
29%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
POR
1 - 2
CAZ
25%
27%
49%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 2
CAZ
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAZ
3 - 1
PAC
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |