CA Morelia vs Cafetaleros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2020 |
JUA
3 - 0
MOR
25%
25%
50%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
CAF
4 - 1
MOR
24%
23%
53%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MON
2 - 2
MOR
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 1
TOL
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 5
UAT
79%
14%
7%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAF
0 - 1
ZAC
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
CAF
4 - 1
MOR
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CAF
2 - 1
CAÑ
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
MON
6 - 0
CAF
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
TOR
3 - 0
CAF
30%
26%
45%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |