Moreirense vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
MOR
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 0
OLI
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 5
FEI
38%
28%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GFC
2 - 1
MOR
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 1
SPC
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 3
GFC
24%
26%
49%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 2
VAR
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 0
ARO
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FEI
2 - 1
VAR
63%
23%
15%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 1
LEX
28%
29%
44%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |