Moreirense vs Ovarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
PEN
0 - 1
MOR
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 1
NAV
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
FEL
3 - 0
MOR
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
MOR
5 - 1
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
NAC
0 - 0
MOR
59%
22%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
OVA
2 - 2
NAC
33%
25%
43%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
ACA
2 - 1
OVA
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
OVA
5 - 0
AVE
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
OVA
2 - 2
CHA
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
ESP
1 - 0
OVA
50%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |