Morecambe vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 1
BAR
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2005 |
MOR
3 - 0
BUR
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
EBB
1 - 2
MOR
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
MOR
2 - 1
SCA
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
LEI
0 - 2
MOR
15%
21%
64%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 3
HER
24%
24%
53%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
CUM
0 - 1
FOR
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
NOR
2 - 1
FOR
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 1
TAM
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
EBB
0 - 0
FOR
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |