Morecambe vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
50.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
TRA
0 - 1
MOR
58%
23%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
CUM
3 - 1
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 2
FOR
34%
26%
39%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 1
MAN
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CRA
4 - 0
MOR
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
EXE
1 - 0
CUM
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
LEY
1 - 1
EXE
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
EXE
3 - 1
SCU
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
EXE
2 - 1
CRA
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
WAL
0 - 0
EXE
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |