Morbegno 1908 vs Mandello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morbegno 1908
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
COS
1 - 0
MOR
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 0
BAR
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VIB
1 - 2
MOR
56%
21%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 2
MER
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DUB
0 - 1
MOR
13%
18%
69%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mandello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
COR
3 - 0
MAN
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 2
COS
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 1
MAN
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 1
VIB
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MER
2 - 2
MAN
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |