Moraleja vs Calamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
73.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
16%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
5 - 2
MOR
48%
24%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 2
AMA
66%
19%
15%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
MOR
4 - 0
MOR
72%
18%
10%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 1
TRU
68%
18%
14%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 1
MOR
22%
24%
54%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
7 - 0
MAL
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CPC
1 - 1
CAL
32%
24%
45%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
8 - 0
TRU
84%
12%
4%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CAL
11 - 3
CPC
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 3
CAL
15%
22%
63%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | -1 |