Montserrat vs US Virgin Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+508%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montserrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
MSR
1 - 1
SLV
5%
11%
84%
|
28 | 70 | 42 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
ATG
2 - 2
MSR
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
LCA
0 - 1
MSR
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SLV
1 - 0
MSR
89%
9%
2%
|
27 | 70 | 43 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
DOM
0 - 0
MSR
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 56 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
US Virgin Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
GRD
1 - 0
VIR
84%
11%
5%
|
6 | 49 | 43 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 3
ATG
6%
10%
84%
|
6 | 49 | 43 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
VIR
1 - 2
MAF
10%
15%
75%
|
6 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CYM
1 - 0
VIR
82%
12%
7%
|
6 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
VIR
0 - 4
BRB
10%
15%
75%
|
7 | 44 | 37 | -1 |