Montrose vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
7º
7º
79
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
FAL
49%
26%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CLY
1 - 3
MON
29%
25%
47%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
MON
4 - 2
AIR
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
EDI
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MON
4 - 2
KIL
83%
12%
5%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
CLY
0 - 2
DUN
24%
25%
52%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 0
EDI
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ALL
0 - 3
DUN
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 2
PET
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 1
FAL
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |