National 3 Occitanie. Jor. 26

Montpellier II vs Toulouse II analysis

Montpellier II Toulouse II
35 ELO 41
-0.2% Tilt -11.3%
6667º General ELO ranking 7037º
150º Country ELO ranking 172º
ELO win probability
39.6%
Montpellier II
25.9%
Draw
34.4%
Toulouse II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
Montpellier II
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.4%
Win probability
Toulouse II
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montpellier II
+24%
-16%
Toulouse II

Points and table prediction

Montpellier II
Their league position
Toulouse II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
14º
55
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Béziers
57
57
100%
Toulouse II
55
55
100%
Stade Beaucairois
50
51
100%
Castanet
41
44
100%
Montpellier II
39
39
100%
Agde
34
37
86.5%
Colomiers
33
34
44%
Alberes Argelès
33
33
57.5%
Onet Le Château
31
31
82%
 Aigues Mortes
10º
29
29
10º
0%
Rodez II
11º
29
29
11º
0%
Balma
12º
28
28
12º
100%
Union Saint-Jean
13º
20
20
13º
100%
Bagnols-Pont
14º
16
16
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Montpellier II
Toulouse II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Montpellier II
Toulouse II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montpellier II
Montpellier II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 May. 2023
BAL
Balma
0 - 1
Montpellier II
MON
26%
25%
49%
36 30 6 0
13 May. 2023
MON
Montpellier II
1 - 0
Union Saint-Jean
USJ
81%
12%
7%
36 22 14 0
06 May. 2023
FBP
Bagnols-Pont
3 - 2
Montpellier II
MON
15%
19%
66%
38 19 19 -2
22 Apr. 2023
MON
Montpellier II
2 - 1
Stade Beaucairois
BEA
50%
24%
26%
37 37 0 +1
15 Apr. 2023
ONE
Onet Le Château
1 - 1
Montpellier II
MON
24%
22%
54%
38 26 12 -1

Matches

Toulouse II
Toulouse II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 May. 2023
TOU
Toulouse II
1 - 1
 Aigues Mortes
SAM
72%
16%
11%
40 28 12 0
13 May. 2023
CAS
Castanet
0 - 1
Toulouse II
TOU
32%
26%
42%
39 34 5 +1
07 May. 2023
TOU
Toulouse II
2 - 1
Rodez II
ROD
70%
17%
13%
39 29 10 0
22 Apr. 2023
FCA
Alberes Argelès
1 - 1
Toulouse II
TOU
33%
26%
41%
40 34 6 -1
15 Apr. 2023
COL
Colomiers
0 - 1
Toulouse II
TOU
29%
24%
47%
39 33 6 +1
X