Ligue 1 . Jor. 28

Montpellier vs Clermont analysis

Montpellier Clermont
77 ELO 72
12.7% Tilt 5.6%
369º General ELO ranking 704º
13º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
56.1%
Montpellier
23.5%
Draw
20.4%
Clermont

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
Montpellier
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.4%
Win probability
Clermont
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montpellier
+4%
-7%
Clermont

Points and table prediction

Montpellier
Their league position
Clermont
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
15º
12º
59
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSG
85
85
100%
Lens
84
84
100%
Olympique Marseille
73
73
100%
Stade Rennais
68
68
100%
Lille
67
67
100%
Monaco
65
65
100%
Olympique Lyonnais
62
62
100%
Clermont
59
59
100%
Nice
58
58
100%
Lorient
10º
55
55
10º
100%
Stade de Reims
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Montpellier
12º
50
50
12º
100%
Toulouse
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Stade Brestois
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Strasbourg
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Nantes
16º
36
36
16º
100%
Auxerre
17º
35
35
17º
100%
Ajaccio
18º
26
26
18º
100%
Troyes
19º
24
24
19º
100%
Angers SCO
20º
18
18
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Montpellier
Clermont
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Montpellier
Clermont
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montpellier
Montpellier
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2023
AJA
Ajaccio
0 - 1
Montpellier
MPL
21%
26%
53%
76 66 10 0
05 Mar. 2023
MPL
Montpellier
5 - 0
Angers SCO
ANG
66%
21%
14%
76 67 9 0
25 Feb. 2023
MPL
Montpellier
1 - 1
Lens
LEN
31%
25%
43%
76 84 8 0
19 Feb. 2023
TRO
Troyes
0 - 1
Montpellier
MPL
31%
26%
43%
75 71 4 +1
12 Feb. 2023
MPL
Montpellier
3 - 0
Stade Brestois
BRE
48%
25%
27%
75 74 1 0

Matches

Clermont
Clermont
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2023
CLE
Clermont
0 - 4
Lens
LEN
24%
25%
51%
73 83 10 0
05 Mar. 2023
TFC
Toulouse
0 - 1
Clermont
CLE
68%
19%
13%
72 79 7 +1
26 Feb. 2023
CLE
Clermont
1 - 1
Strasbourg
STR
32%
27%
42%
72 78 6 0
19 Feb. 2023
REN
Stade Rennais
2 - 0
Clermont
CLE
71%
18%
11%
73 85 12 -1
11 Feb. 2023
CLE
Clermont
0 - 2
Olympique Marseille
MAR
18%
23%
59%
74 87 13 -1
X