Montluçon vs Bourgoin-Jallieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
66.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
13º
14º
14º
51
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
92% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 81.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montluçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AIX
3 - 2
MON
74%
15%
10%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
SAE
15%
20%
66%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
FEU
34%
25%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LDU
2 - 0
MON
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
HAL
21%
21%
59%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bourgoin-Jallieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 1
HAL
65%
19%
17%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LIM
0 - 2
BOU
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VAU
1 - 3
BOU
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BOU
3 - 0
CHA
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RVA
0 - 1
BOU
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |