Monticelli vs SN Notaresco 2018 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
40.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
REC
0 - 0
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
MON
3 - 0
JES
41%
24%
36%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FVE
1 - 2
MON
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
AMI
41%
24%
36%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SN Notaresco 2018
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
FER
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAN
20%
21%
59%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
CHI
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
AVE
1 - 1
SAN
32%
23%
46%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FAN
5 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |