Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
RIV
3 - 1
MWA
46%
25%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MWA
0 - 1
CER
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
RAC
2 - 2
MWA
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
MWA
4 - 3
JUN
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
LFC
3 - 1
MWA
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 1
LFC
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 0
PEÑ
42%
26%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 2
NAC
32%
27%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
RIV
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
BOS
0 - 0
NAC
24%
26%
50%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |