Montevarchi Calcio vs Tiferno Lerchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ACS
0 - 2
MON
19%
26%
55%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
MON
3 - 1
FLA
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
SIE
1 - 3
MON
55%
25%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
MON
2 - 2
OST
61%
23%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
PIA
2 - 2
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tiferno Lerchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
TIF
4 - 2
TRA
26%
25%
49%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 0
TIF
51%
23%
27%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
TIF
1 - 0
GAV
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
SDT
1 - 0
TIF
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
TIF
1 - 1
MON
44%
23%
34%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |