Montevarchi Calcio vs Ostia Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
PIA
2 - 2
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
SIN
82%
12%
6%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 2
MON
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 2
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
MON
3 - 0
FOL
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
OST
0 - 2
GAV
41%
27%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SDT
1 - 1
OST
39%
26%
36%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
OST
3 - 1
MON
50%
23%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 2
OST
50%
22%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
OST
1 - 1
GRA
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |