Montegiorgio vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
SFF
2 - 1
MON
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
RIE
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PIN
1 - 0
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
ASD
29%
24%
47%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
SEL
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
OLY
2 - 4
APR
22%
24%
53%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
APR
0 - 1
PIN
35%
25%
41%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
APR
1 - 0
GIU
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
RIE
2 - 0
APR
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
SFF
2 - 2
APR
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |