Montedio Yamagata vs Tokyo Verdy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montedio Yamagata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
TOC
1 - 2
MON
24%
28%
47%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
THE
62%
22%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SAG
0 - 1
MON
27%
28%
46%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
BLA
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VEN
2 - 0
MON
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
TOK
0 - 0
VEN
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
TOK
1 - 5
JEF
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
GIR
2 - 2
TOK
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
TOK
1 - 2
FAG
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
REN
1 - 2
TOK
33%
26%
42%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |