Montedio Yamagata vs Omiya Ardija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montedio Yamagata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
FAG
1 - 0
MON
31%
29%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
MON
1 - 2
TOK
61%
23%
17%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
TOC
1 - 2
MON
24%
28%
47%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
THE
62%
22%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SAG
0 - 1
MON
27%
28%
46%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
OMI
1 - 2
REN
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
KYO
1 - 0
OMI
65%
22%
14%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
OMI
1 - 2
JUB
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
OMI
3 - 1
GIR
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
JEF
2 - 1
OMI
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |