Montecasillas vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
43.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecasillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
EFA
2 - 3
MON
35%
25%
40%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MON
2 - 2
BAL
19%
21%
60%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MME
1 - 0
MON
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ALG
0 - 1
MON
82%
13%
6%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MON
0 - 1
OLI
12%
19%
70%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LOR
0 - 2
ALC
48%
24%
28%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 1
LOR
52%
23%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
EFA
1 - 2
LOR
19%
23%
58%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
LOR
1 - 3
BAL
63%
19%
18%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MME
7 - 0
LOR
59%
21%
21%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |