CD Montalbeño vs Nervión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
72.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Montalbeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ANT
6 - 0
MON
87%
10%
3%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MON
0 - 3
ESP
7%
16%
77%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PIL
1 - 0
MON
47%
24%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MON
0 - 4
CDP
33%
26%
42%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
POZ
5 - 0
MON
78%
15%
7%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NER
1 - 0
ATC
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
NER
39%
24%
38%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NER
0 - 1
LCF
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CDL
2 - 0
NER
46%
22%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NER
2 - 1
UDM
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |