Monovar A vs Cox analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
36.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monovar A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UDF
3 - 0
MON
39%
21%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ALG
0 - 2
MON
16%
17%
67%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
PRV
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
ASP
38%
22%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
UDL
2 - 4
MON
10%
14%
75%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 0
ALG
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 2
ASP
38%
24%
39%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 3
CDC
13%
18%
69%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CDC
0 - 0
GUS
23%
20%
57%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ALB
3 - 2
CDC
54%
21%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |