Moneyfields vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
63.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moneyfields
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HAY
0 - 1
MON
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
YAT
2 - 2
MON
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
THA
26%
20%
55%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CIR
2 - 2
MON
82%
11%
7%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
MON
0 - 2
WIN
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
LEW
3 - 4
WOR
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
WOR
1 - 1
LEA
52%
23%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CHM
1 - 2
WOR
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
POT
1 - 1
WOR
30%
23%
46%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
WOR
0 - 1
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |