Monegrillo vs Peñaflor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
37.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monegrillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FCD
2 - 6
MON
39%
23%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
ZDL
22%
20%
58%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DEL
1 - 0
MON
52%
21%
27%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
LEC
30%
23%
47%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MON
4 - 5
ALT
24%
21%
56%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 3
LEC
50%
22%
28%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 1
PAD
46%
21%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PAD
3 - 1
HIS
61%
21%
19%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SEU
2 - 4
PAD
39%
21%
41%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 1
ISA
42%
22%
37%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |