Monagas vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
46.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
UCV
0 - 2
MON
15%
24%
61%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
BAR
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
ANG
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 3
BOC
26%
28%
46%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BOC
2 - 1
OLI
76%
17%
7%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BOC
2 - 3
INS
67%
23%
11%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 0
BOC
30%
29%
41%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
BOC
0 - 0
DYJ
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |