Monaco vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
MON
0 - 3
LIL
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
ANG
0 - 0
MON
35%
27%
39%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MON
3 - 0
AMI
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
TFC
1 - 2
MON
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
GIR
2 - 1
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
MON
0 - 3
LIL
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
LIL
2 - 1
MPL
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
CHL
2 - 1
LIL
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
LIL
1 - 0
BRE
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
LYO
0 - 1
LIL
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |