Q. Europa League Play-off. Final
Global 3-4
Molde FK vs Zenit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MFK
2 - 3
RAN
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
ZEN
3 - 1
MFK
58%
22%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
STB
3 - 1
MFK
20%
24%
56%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
MFK
3 - 0
HIB
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
MFK
5 - 1
BBS
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
UFA
0 - 2
ZEN
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
ZEN
3 - 1
MFK
58%
22%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
ZEN
4 - 1
URA
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
ZEN
8 - 1
DNM
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
FCR
0 - 1
ZEN
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |