Molde FK vs Stromsgodset IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
15º
7º
9
5º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
42 | 62 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
1º
|
42 | 60 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 54 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 51 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 43 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 43 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 42 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 41 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 34 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 24 |
15º
|
73.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 14 |
16º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 78% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
FFK
4 - 2
MFK
36%
27%
38%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
TRO
1 - 0
MFK
39%
26%
36%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
MFK
2 - 3
KFU
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
VIF
2 - 3
MFK
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
MFK
2 - 3
IFK
75%
15%
9%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Stromsgodset IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
STR
2 - 3
TRO
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
VKG
1 - 0
STR
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
STR
0 - 2
VIF
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
KFU
5 - 0
STR
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
STR
0 - 3
HAM
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |